Tianji CAI (蔡天驥)

1. Lin, Jieying, Fumin Li, Tianji Cai*, (2026) “Smuggling Regular Goods in China: Evidence from Chinese sentencing documents”, Global Crime, (forthcoming). DOI: 10.1080/17440572. 2026.2641420
2. Mohsen Naghavi, HH Kyu, MA Aalipour, H Aalruz, HS Ababneh, BJ Abafita, …, Tianji Cai,… et al., “Global burden of 292 causes of death in 204 countries and territories and 660 subnational locations, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023”, The Lancet, 406(10513), 1811 – 1872. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)01917-8
3. Austin E Schumacher, P Zheng, RM Barber, MA Aalipour, H Aalruz, …, Tianji Cai,… et al., “Global age-sex-specific all-cause mortality and life expectancy estimates for 204 countries and territories and 660 subnational locations, 1950–2023: a demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023”, The Lancet, 406(10513), 1731 – 1810. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)01330-3
4. SI Hay, KL Ong, DF Santomauro, MA Aalipour, H Aalruz, HS Ababneh, …, Tianji Cai,… et al., “Burden of 375 diseases and injuries, risk-attributable burden of 88 risk factors, and healthy life expectancy in 204 countries and territories, including 660 subnational locations, 1990–2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023”, The Lancet, 406(10513), 1873 – 1922. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)01637-X
5. Zheng, Yunting, Kun Wang, Xueying Qin, Xiangran Kong, Tianji Cai, Xiaoyu Wang, Yuan Dong, Chun Chang, Ying Ji*, (2025) “Inequalities and trends in access to health insurance and essential public health services among internal migrants in China: 2013 to 2018”, Scientific Reports, 15, 31830, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-17282-w
6. Li, Fumin, Yisu Zhou, & Tianji Cai* (2025), “Periodicity of sex worker touring: an image-assisted analysis”, Journal of Computational Social Science, 8(68), DOI: 10.1007/s42001-025-00397-5
7. Anza-Ramirez,Cecilia, J. Jaime Miranda, Benedetta Armocida, …, Tianji Cai, et.al., (2025) “Characterising acute and chronic care needs: insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019”, Nature Communications 16(4235), DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-56910-x
8. Chen, Manting, Yanyu Xin*, & Tianji Cai (2025) “Sexual Distance in Victim-Offender Relationships: Expanding the Social Distance Hypothesis for Rape Sentencing in China”, Journal of Quantitative Criminology (2025), https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-025-09607-9
9. Cai, Tianji, Juming Huang* (2025) “AI’s dual impact: Transforming society and social sciences”, Chinese Journal of Sociology, 11(1): 3-4, DOI: 10.1177/2057150X251316601
10. Lan, Qing, Haonan Guo & Tianji Cai* (2024) “Modelling municipal solid waste generation in Macau: A synthetic approach”, Chinese Journal of Sociology, DOI: 10.1177/2057150X241312987
11. Lin, Jieying, Yiwei Xia & Tianji Cai* (2024) “Tip of the iceberg? An evaluation of the un-uploaded criminal sentencing documents in China”, Asian Journal of Criminology, (forthcoming), DOI:10.1007/s11417-024-09434-0.
12. Schumacher, Austin E., Hmwe Hmwe Kyu, Amirali Aali, …, Tianji Cai, et al., (2024) “Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021”, The Lancet, 403(10440): 1989-2056. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8
13. Zhang, Huiquan & Tianji Cai*. (2023), “Measuring Event Diffusion Momentum (EDM): Applications in Social Movement Research”, Maher, T.V. and Schoon, E.W. (Ed.) Methodological Advances in Research on Social Movements, Conflict, and Change (Research in Social Movements, Conflicts and Change, Vol. 47), Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 215-238. https://doi.org/10.1108/S0163-786X20230000047010
14. Bao, Xuhui*, Yongjun Liang, Hanman Chang, Tianji Cai, et.al., (2024) “Targeting proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9): from bench to bedside”, Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy, 9: 13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41392-023-01690-3
15. Zhou, Yisu, Tianji Cai, Dan Wang, & Fumin Li, (2022), “Classroom composition for low ability students in China”, Journal of Community Psychology, (forthcoming), https://doi.org/10.1002/jcop.22939
16. Roberts, Nicholas*, Emily Johnson, Scott Zeng, …, Tianji Cai, et.al., (2022) “Mortality from Snakebite Envenomation: An Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019”, Nature Communications 13(1): 6160, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33627-9
17. Cai, Tianji, Fumin Li, Jian Zhan, Zhengrong Wang* (2022), “Does the crying baby always get the milk? An analysis of government responses for online requests” Chinese Sociological Review, (forthcoming), DOI: 10.1080/21620555.2022.2103667.
18. Xin, Yanyu & Tianji Cai* (2021) “Cooperative guardian offenders and sentencing outcomes: Evidence from criminal sentencing documents of child trafficking crime in China”, Child Abuse & Neglect, (forthcoming), DOI:10.1016/j.chiabu.2021.105449.
19. Wang, Hongyu*, Yi Li, Tianji Cai, Chunlian Jiang (2021) “The General Theory of Crime Revisited: Comparing the Relative Effects of Parental Responsiveness and Parental Behavioral Control on Aggressive and Nonaggressive Antisocial Behavior in Adolescence”, Deviant Behavior, (forthcoming), DOI: 10.1080/01639625.2021.2014766
20. Cai, Tianji*, Jiehua Lu, & Qiushi Feng (2021) “Ageing and health across the world”, China Population Development Study, (forthcoming) https://doi.org/10.1007/s42379-021-00100-x
21. Li, Yi*, Tianji Cai, Hongyu Wang & Guang Guo (2021). “Achieved educational attainment, inherited genetic endowment for education, and obesity”, Biodemography and Social Biology, 66(2), 132-144. DOI: 10.1080/19485565.2020.1869919
22. Niño, Michael D.*, Brittany N. Hearne, Tianji Cai (2021). “Trajectories of COVID-19 vaccine intentions among U.S. adults: The role of race and ethnicity”, SSM – Population Health, 15, 100824. (Forthcoming. )DOI: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2021.100824.
23. Wang, Haidong, Kaja M Abbas, Mitra Abbasifard et al. (2020). “Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (HALE), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019”, Lancet, 396: 1135–1159 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30977-6
24. Cai, Tianji*, Ruoyang Tang, Hongyu Wang, and Spencer De Li (2020). “One country two systems: A comparative study of national identity between Hong Kong and Macau”, Chinese Sociological Review (Forthcoming). DOI:10.1080/21620555.2020.1815004.
25. Tang, Ruoyang, and Tianji Cai*. (2020) .“Smuggling of Drugs by Body Packing: Evidence from Chinese Sentencing Documents”, International Journal of Drug Policy, 78, (Forthcoming) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drugpo.2020.102732
26. Niño, Michael*, and Tianji Cai. (2020). “Timing of Parental Incarceration and Allostatic Load: A Developmental Life Course Approach”, Annals of Epidemiology , 43,18-24 (Forthcoming) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.annepidem.2020.02.002
27. Li, Fumin, Yisu Zhou, and Tianji Cai* (2019). “Trails of Data: Three Cases for Collecting Web Information for Social Science Research”, Social Science Computer Review (Forthcoming) https://doi.org/10.1177/0894439319886019.
28. Xia, Yiwei., Yisu Zhou, & Tianji Cai*. (2019). gidm: A command for generalized inflated discrete models. The Stata Journal, 19(3), 698–718. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X19874246
29. Xie, Liyi, Xuhui Bao, Tianji Cai, Susan G. Silva, Jinli Ma, Zhen Zhang, Xiaomao Guo*, & Lawrence B. Marks. “Elevated risk of radiotherapy-associated second malignant neoplasms in young African American women with breast cancer”, International Journal of Radiation Oncology, Biology, Physics (forthcoming), DOI:10.1016/j.ijrobp.2019.06.010
30. Xia, Yiwei,Yisu Zhou, Li Du, and Tianji Cai*. “Mapping Trafficking of Women in China: Evidence from Court Sentences”, Journal of Contemporary China (forthcoming), DOI: 10.1080/10670564.2019.1637564.
31. Xin, Yanyu, and Tianji Cai* (2019). “Paying Money for Freedom: Effects of Monetary Compensation on Sentencing for Criminal Traffic Accident Offenses in China”, Journal of Quantitative Criminology，DOI: 10.1007/s10940-019-09409-w.
32. Xia, Yiwei, Tianji Cai*, and Hua Zhong (2019). “Effect of Judges’ Gender on Rape Sentencing: A Data Mining Approach to Analyze Judgment Documents”, The China Review, 19(2), 125-149. Q2 32/68 in Area Studies
33. Xin, Yanyu, and Tianji Cai* (2019). “Child Trafficking in China: Evidence from Sentencing Documents”, International Journal of Population Studies, , 4(2):1-10. DOI: 10.18063/ijps.v4i2.817.
34. Wang, Hongyu*, Tianji Cai, Yanyu Xin, and Baichao Chen (2019). “The Effects of Previous and Current Instrumental Involvement and Expressive Involvement on Online Political Participation among Chinese College Students”, Sociological Inquiry, 89(2), 214-238. DOI: 10.1111/soin.12252.
35. Cai, Tianji*, Li Du, Yanyu Xin and Lennon Chang (2018). “Characteristics of cybercrimes: evidence from Chinese judgment documents”, Police Practice and Research: An International Journal, 19(6), 582-595, DOI: 10.1080/15614263.2018.1507895
36. Wang, Hongyu*, Tianji Cai and Guangchao Charles Feng (2018). “Media exposure and Chinese college students’ attitudes toward China’s maritime claims and disputes in the South and East China Seas”, 4:1482995 Cogent Social Sciences (OASS),4(1), 1-15. DOI: 10.1080/23311886.2018.1482995
37. Cai, Tianji*, Yiwei Xia, and Yisu Zhou (2018). “Generalized Inflated Discrete Models: A Strategy to Work with Multimodal Discrete Distributions”, Sociological Methods & Research, DOI: 10.1177/0049124118782535 (Forthcoming).
38. Cai, Tianji*, Yiwei Xia (2018). “Estimating size of drug users in Macau: an open population capture-recapture model with data augmentation using public registration data”, Asian Journal of Criminology, 13(3), 193-206. DOI: 10.1007/s11417-018-9266-0.
39. Cai, Tianji, Yisu Zhou*, Michael Niño, and Nichola Driver (2018). “The School Contextual Effect of Sexual Debut on Sexual Risk-Taking: A Joint Parameter Approach”, Journal of School Health, 88(3): 200-207.
40. Cai, Tianji*, and Hongyu Wang. (2018). “Comparing weighting methods for non-response in the HKPSSD survey and the BCSPS”, Chinese Sociological Review, 50(1): 1-26.
41. Niño, Michael D.*, Tianji Cai, Xochitl Mota-back, and Joseph Comeau (2017). “Gender differences in trajectories of alcohol use from ages 13 to 33 across Latina/o ethnic groups”, Drug and Alcohol Dependence, 180: 113-120.
42. Wang, Hongyu*, Tianji Cai, Yi Mou, and Shifa Yong. (2017). “Traditional resources, Internet Resources and Youth Online Political Participation: the Resource Theory Revisited in the Chinese Context”, Chinese Sociological Review, 49(3): 1-22.
43. Niño, Michael D.*, Gabe Ignatow, and Tianji Cai. (2017). “Social Isolation, Strain, and Youth Violence”, Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice, 15(3): 299-313.
44. Wang, Hongyu*, and Tianji Cai (2017). “Parental Involvement, Adolescents’ Self-Determined Learning, and Academic Achievement in Urban China”, International Journal of Psychology, 52(1): 58-66.
45. Niño, Michael*, Tianji Cai, Gabriel Ignatow, Philip Yang, (2017). “Generational Peers and Alcohol Misuse”, International Migration Review, 51(1): 67-96.
46. Zhou, Yisu*, Tianji Cai, and Dan Wang, (2016). “Social Segregation in Hong Kong’s Schools: 2000–2012”, Chinese Sociological Review,48(3): 248-270.
47. Niño, Michael*, Tianji Cai, and Gabriel Ignatow, (2016). “Social isolation, drunkenness, and cigarette use among adolescents”, Addictive Behaviors, 53: 94-100.
48. Guo, Guang*, Yi Li, Tianji Cai, Hongyu Wang, and Greg Duncan, (2015). “Peer Influence, Genetic Propensity, and Binge Drinking: A Natural Experiment and a Replication”. American Journal of Sociology, 121(3): 914-954.
49. Guo, Guang*, Yilan Fu, Hedwig Lee, Tianji Cai, Kathleen Mullan Harris, (2014). “Recognizing a small amount of superficial genetic differences across African, European and Asian Americans helps understand social construction of race”. Demography, 51(6): 2337-2342.
50. Densley, James A.*, Tianji Cai, Susan Hilal (2014). “Social dominance orientation and trust propensity in street gangs”, Group Processes & Intergroup Relations，17(6): 763-779.
51. Guo, Guang*, Yilan Fu, Hedwig Lee, Tianji Cai, Kathleen Mullan Harris, Yi Li, (2013). “Genetic Bio-Ancestry and Social Construction of Racial Classification in Social Surveys in the Contemporary United States”, Demography, 51(1): 141-172.
52. Shen, Yuying*, Dale E. Yeatts, Tianji Cai, Philip Q. Yang, Cynthia M. Cready, (2013) “Social Capital and Self-Rated Health Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China: A Multilevel Analysis”, Research on Aging, 36(4): 497-521
53. Cai, Tianji*, (2013). “Investigation of Ways to Handle Sampling Weights for Multilevel Model Analyses”, Sociological Methodology, 43(1): 178-219.
54. Guo, Guang*, Tianji Cai, Rui Guo, Hongyu Wang, and Kathleen Harris, (2010). “The Dopamine Transporter Gene, a Spectrum of Most Common Risky Behaviors, and the Legal Status of the Behaviors”, PLoS ONE.5(2): e9352.
55. Guo, Guang*, Glen H. Elder, Tianji Cai and Nathan Hamilton. (2009). “Gene–environment interactions: Peers’ alcohol use moderates genetic contribution to adolescent drinking behavior”, Social Science Research. 38: 213-224.=
56. Guo, Guang*, Roettger Michael, and Tianji Cai. (2008). “The Integration of Genetic Propensities into Social-Control Models of Delinquency and Violence among Male Youths”, American Sociological Review. 73: 543-68.
57. Guo, Guang* and Yuying Tong and Tianji Cai. (2008). “Gene by Social-Context Interactions for Number of Sexual Partners among Male Youths: Genetics-informed Sociology”. American Journal of Sociology. 114 Sppl: S36-S66
58. Cai, Tianji*, Yisu Zhou (2016). “What should sociologists know about big data?” ISA eSymposium for Sociology, 6(3):1-9
59. 李德*, 蔡天骥, 马岩, 张小华, 林建, 唐伟, 叶嘉茵, 夏一巍. (2015). 澳門在學青少年與藥物2014年調查報告.
60. 李涌平*, 蔡天骥 (2014). “理解单独二胎人口政策:为了未来人口发展的平衡”, 人口与发展 (CSSCI), 06(20):104-109
61. Lindblad, Mark R., Quercia, Roberto G., Riley, Sarah, Jacoby, Melissa B., Cai, Tianji, Wang, Ling and Manturuk, Kim, Coping with Adversity: Personal Bankruptcy Decisions of Lower-Income Homeowners Before and After Bankruptcy Reform (April 26, 2011). Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2031622
62. 蔡天骥*, 蒋耒文, 任强. (2005). “住房状况对老年居住方式的影响”, 国务院人口普查办公室和国家统计局人口和社会科技统计司编, 《2000年人口普查国家级重点课题研究报告》第二卷, 民族·老龄化·家庭与住房, 第882-895页, 北京: 中国统计出版社。
63. 蔡天骥*. (2004). 女性独居老人自评生活满意度的影响因素分析，中国人口科学 (CSSCI) ，增刊(老龄健康与社会经济发展专辑): 70-74
64. 李玲*, 王启俊, 蔡天骥, 祝伟星. (2004). 肿瘤监测资料统计中的人口预测, 中国肿瘤 (CSCI), 13(12): 754-756.

Edited Books:

1. 李德, 蔡天驥, 王紅宇, 郭世雅. (2020). 《澳門社會現狀調查》, 五南圖書出版股份有限公司, ISBN: 9789865220013.
2. Xiaogang Wu, Yongjun Zhang, Tianji Cai (2024). Computational Social Science: Application in China Studies, Taylor & Francis, ISBN: 9781032696461

Book Reviews:

1. Cai, Tianji (2010). Review of Bayesian Statistical Modeling, by Peter Congdon. Sociological Methods & Research, 2010(39): 302