經濟學系講座: Threshold Spatial Panel Regression with Fixed Effects
講者：孟曉雨教授 / 南開大學經濟學院助理教授
日期：06/05/2026 (三)
時間：14:00-15:15
地點：E21B-G002
語言：英語
內容：We introduce general estimation and inference methods for threshold spatial panel regression with two-way fixed effects in a diminishing-threshold-effects framework. A valid objective function is obtained through a simple adjustment on the concentrated quasi loglikelihood with fixed effects being concentrated out, which leads to a consistent estimation of all common parameters. We show that the estimation of threshold parameter has a negligible effect on the asymptotic distribution of the main parameter estimators and thereby regular inference methods apply, though a bias correction may be necessary. The limiting distribution of the threshold parameter estimator is shown to be non-regular and infeasible, and for inference, a likelihood ratio test procedure is proposed. The test for the non-existence of threshold effects faces an identification issue at the null. To overcome this difficulty, we propose a sup-Wald test and a bootstrap method for its critical values. Monte Carlo results show that the proposed methods perform well in finite samples. An empirical application is presented on age-of-leader effects on political competitions across Chinese cities.
